Numbers have been magical, since the inception of assigning names to digits. The names of numbers came up as the numbers were created. Words are, in their own selves, magical. They assign sounds that are, over time, enriched by the past usage of these sounds, to create a new reality. On top of this, we have the reality of nature and things that we call ‘real’. One of the forces of nature we strive to understand it the nature of cycles. Day and night cycles, lunar cycles, seasonal cycles are all at the very basis of human philosophy, religion and civilization.
It is hard for modern humans to understand how the understanding of these obvious cycles is the fundamental basis of all our thought-systems which we call ‘The Brain’. Modern economics is very fond of understanding cycles, yet, at the same time, many people don’t like the information this gives us. Even as many graph and chart readers work for many investment houses and universities, the philosophy of how this works eludes many users of graphs and charts because the lessons embedded in this business are most unsettling.
This is why sudden reversals are hard to anticipate. Generally speaking, people like to keep any status quo going to infinity or conversely, they want to prematurely terminate a cycle so they can keep the one they prefer, going. Instead of striving to understand the nature of balance and control, they want out of control expansion with no alleviating contraction cycles.
Many people inside of our government systems want to have a single dynamic rather than understanding waves and figuring out how to navigate these sea changes. The notion of waves, the idea that things have cycles is very ancient and there are many, many stories told for thousands of years, that try to explain cycles and how governments ought to cope with these inevitable cycles of drought/rain or plenty/famine, cycles of wealth/poverty and cycles of dynastic growth/dying empires.
Today, we see many people bewailing the collapse of the easy credit cycle. The United States is trying to fix the end of the flood of easy credit by giving itself even more easy credit and then giving it out to others so they can lend more, too. This isn’t going to work, in the long run, the more we refuse to balance things, the more out of balance they become and the more effort is required to keep the out of balance things running.
This is the ancient notion of rolling rocks uphill. Only I would suggest, it is more like rolling a snowball uphill. As you push it upwards, it grows bigger and heavier and will eventually roll backwards, crushing everything in its path for it will grow bigger going down, as well as going uphill! This is the nature of the Beast: interest accumulations without savings doom any negative wealth-flow systems.
A lot of people misunderstand the concept of savings and how this is the basis of all lending systems. They think that savers are hoarders. Gold buyers are hoarders, incidentally. But this is the fault of the bankers and politicians who severed the money/gold connection. Normally, savers prefer to park their capital in banks. Then, the banks lend money using these savings as their base of value. Bankers have to pay savers for using this money as lending.
When bankers cheat savers and insist on running banking on a zero-profit for savers so savers give bankers money which the bankers get to use for free as their basis for lending where the bankers get all the interest profits accrued off of the savings that earn no interest, we get a negative banking system. To protest this theft, savers have been buying gold and hoarding it and keeping the money out of the lending markets. This is why the lending cycle has collapsed and will continue to collapse.
Back to cycles: there are cycles for saving and cycles for spending. Generally speaking, wise people save during good cycles and spend their savings during bad cycles. People who save during good cycles get to be the bankers during bad cycles. This is very ancient, as old as civilization itself. The earliest empires knew they had to accumulate wealth during good times and spend it during bad times.
I wish to talk now about one of the oldest Bible stories about this business: the Seven Fat Cows and the Seven Starving Cows. It is embedded in the middle of a lot of very bizarre and quite funny stuff. Just for example, the cheek of the Jewish scribes who wrote up this story thousands of years later, decided to take credit for the creation of tithing taxes in ancient Egypt!
As if a bunch of shepherds figured out what the Egyptians created many thousands of years ago! The very earliest agricultural communities were the antithesis of the herding mentality: herders tracked the ebb and flow of the seasons, moving northwards or upwards in summer and going south or downwards in winter. Instead, the farmers were sedentary and stored up food in the fall for the winter or, if in deserts like Egypt, they stored the produce of the rainy season and used it during the drought season.
On top of all that, the Egyptians had another cycle: the annual flooding of the Nile. This was due to the monsoon season in the Upper Nile.
Like the Mississippi, Rhine, Danube, Volga, Yellow, Mekong and Amazon rivers, this is one of the great continent-spanning rivers of the world. The rain forests of Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya provide the regular river flow. But the monsoon rains that come off of the Westerlies blowing off the warm Indian Ocean are the cause of the annual flooding of the Nile.
This has been terminated since the building of the Aswan Dam. For many, many thousands of years, one of the chief agricultural grain growing regions of the earth are along the banks of this river as it winds thorough one of the driest deserts on earth. Across the earth, we are putting in dams and levees that prevent annual floods. We have been doing this for less than a century. And the bad effects of this are barely begun.
One of the Greater Cycles is how desertification overtakes older agricultural lands and turns them into dead lands. We are cutting down our rain forests at the same time, we are preventing floods and this combined force is driving desertification of prime agricultural lands.
Back to cycles: the very earliest agriculturalists noticed that not only rivers have cycles, there are tidal cycles, too. These came from the moon’s pull on the oceans. Many agricultural civilizations launched navies and used these to expand trade. For the basis of civilization is agricultural excess crops during good years. These could be easily stored and transported and then, traded for other, non-local goods. For example, there was a huge trade going on since 4,000 BC between the olive-growing regions and the grain growing regions.
This was so profitable, many of the Aegean ships discovered by divers, are nearly always filled with both wine and olive oil products, sent to Egypt, for example. Now, back the Genesis 41, in the Bible:
41:1 It happened at the end of two full years, that Pharaoh dreamed: and, behold, he stood by the river.
41:2 Behold, there came up out of the river seven cattle, well-favored and fat-fleshed, and they fed in the reed-grass.
41:3 Behold, seven other cattle came up after them out of the river, ill-favored and lean-fleshed, and stood by the other cattle on the brink of the river.
41:4 The ill-favored and lean-fleshed cattle ate up the seven well-favored and fat cattle. So Pharaoh awoke.
41:25 Joseph said to Pharaoh, “The dream of Pharaoh is one. What God is about to do he has declared to Pharaoh.
41:26 The seven good cattle are seven years; and the seven good heads of grain are seven years. The dream is one.
41:27 The seven lean and ill-favored cattle that came up after them are seven years, and also the seven empty heads of grain blasted with the east wind; they will be seven years of famine.
41:33 Now therefore let Pharaoh look for a discreet and wise man, and set him over the land of Egypt.
41:34 Let Pharaoh do this, and let him appoint overseers over the land, and take up the fifth part of the land of Egypt’s produce in the seven plenteous years.
41:35 Let them gather all the food of these good years that come, and lay up grain under the hand of Pharaoh for food in the cities, and let them keep it.
41:36 The food will be for a store to the land against the seven years of famine, which will be in the land of Egypt; that the land not perish through the famine.”
41:37 The thing was good in the eyes of Pharaoh, and in the eyes of all his servants.
41:38 Pharaoh said to his servants, “Can we find such a one as this, a man in whom is the Spirit of God?”
41:39 Pharaoh said to Joseph, “Because God has shown you all of this, there is none so discreet and wise as you.
41:40 You shall be over my house, and according to your word will all my people be ruled. Only in the throne I will be greater than you.”
41:41 Pharaoh said to Joseph, “Behold, I have set you over all the land of Egypt.”
41:42 Pharaoh took off his signet ring from his hand, and put it on Joseph’s hand, and arrayed him in robes of fine linen, and put a gold chain about his neck,
41:43 and he made him to ride in the second chariot which he had. They cried before him, “Bow the knee!” He set him over all the land of Egypt.
41:44 Pharaoh said to Joseph, “I am Pharaoh, and without you shall no man lift up his hand or his foot in all the land of Egypt.”
41:49 Joseph laid up grain as the sand of the sea, very much, until he stopped counting, for it was without number.
41:53 The seven years of plenty, that was in the land of Egypt, came to an end.
41:54 The seven years of famine began to come, just as Joseph had said. There was famine in all lands, but in all the land of Egypt there was bread.
41:55 When all the land of Egypt was famished, the people cried to Pharaoh for bread, and Pharaoh said to all the Egyptians, “Go to Joseph. What he says to you, do.”
41:57 All countries came into Egypt, to Joseph, to buy grain, because the famine was severe in all the earth.
First, here is a satellite photo of the region of Giza, Egypt:
The very ancient Egyptian people were extremely intelligent. They figured out very early on, say, around 15,000 years ago [if not much earlier]—bodies buried in the extremely dry desert sands would naturally ‘mummify’ and thus, not rot away. In the Americas, burials of important people were often hauled into drier parts of the desert and buried there, too, for the same reason.
The pyramids of Giza are one of the most famous examples of desert funerary locations. Human-made mountains stored the remains of the demi-god human rulers. The point being, to preserve the bodies forever. Of course, like any ‘eternal’ system set up by jealous rulers, this always fails. Eventually, other humans will raid the tombs and steal all the equipment and even the corpses, themselves. So now, the rulers of ancient Egypt now are doomed to sit inside their glass showcases and entertain masses of barbarians who come to gawk.
The powerful pharaohs of the Old Kingdom years were so cock-sure of their power, they thought, if they built huge pyramids right on the edge of the flood plains, they could protect their remains from robbers. This, of course, failed miserably. All empires rise, rule and then rot. The Egyptian dynasties followed this rule time and again so we know this is not a cycle we can easily evade. It is pretty stubborn.
Before we go further, here is a BBC – History – Ancient Egypt Timeline:
|Years||Periods / Dynasties||Main events|
|3100-2950 BC||Late Predynastic Period||
|2950-2575 BC||Early Dynastic Period
|2575-2150 BC||Old Kingdom
|2125-1975 BC||1st Intermediate Period
|1975-1640 BC||Middle Kingdom
|1630- 1520 BC||2nd Intermediate Period
|1539-1075 BC||New Kingdom
|1075-715 BC||3rd Intermediate Period
|715-332 BC||Late Period
2nd Persian Period)
Many Bible believers love to use archeology to locate their favorite myths. This is easy to do in some ways. For example, the chances of the horse/cow/sheep people invading agricultural Egypt was always high. And sure enough, they have succeeded in this! The 1630-1520 century of invasions of the Horse People, the Hyksos, is associated with the Genesis story of Joseph and the dreams.
The lunacy of this whole story is obvious at a glance: if most people including many Jews, believe that this story is historical and happened in 1500 BC, then it is really stupid. Because the Pharaohs of Egypt had been taxing the farm people for at least 2,000+ years before this story was supposed to happen.
In other words, why would a Pharaoh and his ‘wisest priests’ be stumped by such an obvious dream? This would beg a level of stupidity greater than what we see today in the center of our banking/economic systems! HAHAHA.
Actually, as a 7 year old, I was puzzled as to why it was so difficult to figure out the dream riddle. It seemed childishly simple to me, back then. As it was. The Jews, who descended from wandering/herding tribes, probably found the ancient Egyptian system of water allocations, land-use rules, tithing systems and storage to be utterly miraculous. Instead of giving credit for inventing all of this civilization, the Jews needed to pretend that the clever Egyptians who built immense public structures, water systems, field systems and the art of writing, etc, were too stupid to figure out taxes!
This is what the Seven Fatted Cows are all about: taxes. That is, during good times, a surtax has to be applied so that a surplus can accumulate and be stored. You can bet, the very first farmers of Egypt thought about how to do this. Accumulating grain means protecting it from rodents, water and human theft. This meant having guards, strong houses and cats. And true enough, the very first people to domesticate cats were the ancient Egyptians.
Guarding the surplus grain meant having someone in charge of the storehouses and this was the job of the Pharaohs and their priests. This is also why cats were elevated into goddess-hood by the ancient Egyptians.
Of course, the shepherding tribes from the Middle East didn’t understand all of this which is why there is no mention of cats in the Old Testament. Indeed, when I was young, I doubted the entire story about Egypt due to the fact that no one in the Jewish version of history, mentions cats despite supposedly being there and assimilated for generations, they didn’t know about cats?
Cats (Felis sylvestris catus), known in Ancient Egypt as the miw, played a large role in ancient Egyptian society. Beginning as a wild, untamed species, cats were useful for keeping down vermin populations in the Egyptians’ crops and harvests; through exposure to humans, the cat population became domesticatedover time and learned to coexist with the human population. The people inhabiting the area which would later become unified and known as Upper and Lower Egypt had a religion centering around the worship of animals, of which the cat became one.
Originally praised for its aid to humans in controlling vermin and its ability to fight and kill snakes (such ascobras), the domesticated cat slowly became a symbol of grace and poise. The goddess Mafdet, the deification of justice and execution, was a fierce lion-headed goddess. The cat goddess Bast (also known as Bastet) eventually replaced the cult of Mafdet, and Bast’s image softened over time and she became the deity representing protection, fertility, and motherhood.
As a revered animal and one very important to Egyptian society and religion, the cat was afforded the same mummification after death as humans. Mummified cats were given in offering to Bast; in 1888, an Egyptian farmer accidentally uncovered a large tomb containing tens of thousands of mummified cats and kittens. This discovery outside the town of Beni Hasan contained around eighty thousand cat mummies, dating back to 1000-2000 BC.
Indeed, one of the most favored goddesses of the household was Bast. Museums today have many cute representations of this extremely popular goddess. Often, she carries a basket and has bracelets and earrings. She was always a civilized goddess, very domestic. The fact that the writers of Genesis make no mention of Her is a sign, they were telling fairy tales passed from hand to hand.
What is also a sign of dishonesty is the inability to name the clueless Pharaoh in this story. Even in Ur, where Abraham was supposed to come from, the city officials knew all about storage of grain and how to tax people. Indeed, one of the earliest signs of any city-state is the institution of taxes!
To this day, we see people denying the utility of taxes and the need for all civic organizations to tax properly and spend carefully. The US stands as a perfect example of this: we hate taxes and have had a half a century of tax revolts that had only one outcome: the more we revolt against taxes, the more the bankers [aka, the priests] enable us to borrow more money so we are now in a perpetual debt flow which, in bad times, leads us to destruction.
The Jews who wrote Genesis acted as if the very-developed kingdom of the Pharaohs didn’t know about taxes until a Jewish guy figured it out. Here is what happens next, according to the Jewish version of events:
13 And there was no bread in all the land; for the famine was very sore, so that the land of Egypt and all the land of Canaan fainted by reason of the famine.14 And Joseph gathered up all the money that was found in the land of Egypt, and in the land of Canaan, for the corn which they bought: and Joseph brought the money into Pharaoh’s house.
15 And when money failed in the land of Egypt, and in the land of Canaan, all the Egyptians came unto Joseph, and said, Give us bread: for why should we die in thy presence? for the money faileth.
16 And Joseph said, Give your cattle; and I will give you for your cattle, if money fail.
Aha! Now, we have a most interesting thing here! We know from ancient records that the storage of grain was for bad times and during that time, to prevent riots, revolutions and the topping of regimes, the rulers would hand out bread rations during bad times! This was a smart survival move.
When the British allowed one third of Ireland die of starvation during the Great Potato Famine, this was due to a desire to see the population of Catholic Irish natives greatly reduced. Then, the occupation of Ireland would be much easier for the invading British troops. This was, in other words, a hostile move to destroy a population. One third dead and one third forced to flee to distant lands suited the British Crown just fine.
But the Pharaohs of Egypt did not want their peasants dead! They wanted them alive so they could farm in the future and grow more crops and build more stuff for the rulers. I suspect that many public projects were done in ‘bad years’ and the workers were paid in bread. Bad years were also times for raising large armies to do two things: protect the farmlands from hungry, marauding herding people like the Israelis of yore. Usually, when the rains fail, the herders become extremely aggressive.
I would guess, the earliest Egyptian rulers from before the Old Kingdom, figured this out. But in this Jewish rendition of the discovery of taxes, the Jewish advisor who was second in command, according to this story, was ruthless. He demanded money for these stored grains which were collected as taxes!
Now, normally, when a ruler has a second in command who does this in a time of privation, we see an increase in crime, riots and insurrections. So, according to this thousands-year old story, Joseph helped the Pharaoh suck up all the ‘money’. Which they hoarded. And there was no more commerce.
So the Jewish advisor had a neat idea: force the Egyptian people and others to hand over all their ‘wealth’ in the form of their livestock, etc. Well! According to this story, his own tribe was starving and wanted grain. So they came to Egypt for it. Um, let’s be realistic: a bunch of desert herding people with a very violent history and obvious bad tempers came pouring into Egypt looking for food. The very people the Pharaohs feared and hated. Yes, this sounds like the Hyskos invasions.
17 And they brought their cattle unto Joseph: and Joseph gave them bread in exchange for horses, and for the flocks, and for the cattle of the herds, and for the asses: and he fed them with bread for all their cattle for that year.18 When that year was ended, they came unto him the second year, and said unto him, We will not hide it from my lord, how that our money is spent; my lord also hath our herds of cattle; there is not ought left in the sight of my lord, but our bodies, and our lands:
19 Wherefore shall we die before thine eyes, both we and our land? buy us and our land for bread, and we and our land will be servants unto Pharaoh: and give us seed, that we may live, and not die, that the land be not desolate.
20 And Joseph bought all the land of Egypt for Pharaoh; for the Egyptians sold every man his field, because the famine prevailed over them: so the land became Pharaoh’s.
21 And as for the people, he removed them to cities from one end of the borders of Egypt even to the other end thereof.
22 Only the land of the priests bought he not; for the priests had a portion assigned them of Pharaoh, and did eat their portion which Pharaoh gave them: wherefore they sold not their lands.
23 Then Joseph said unto the people, Behold, I have bought you this day and your land for Pharaoh: lo, here is seed for you, and ye shall sow the land.
24 And it shall come to pass in the increase, that ye shall give the fifth part unto Pharaoh, and four parts shall be your own, for seed of the field, and for your food, and for them of your households, and for food for your little ones.
25 And they said, Thou hast saved our lives: let us find grace in the sight of my lord, and we will be Pharaoh’s servants.
26 And Joseph made it a law over the land of Egypt unto this day, that Pharaoh should have the fifth part, except the land of the priests only, which became not Pharaoh’s.
YIKES! So, according to the Jews, after Joseph forced everyone to lose everything to the Central Government to gain access to grain which was collected in the form of taxes, this grain was then given back to the people who grew it but in return, they had to lose all their lands to the ruler and his foreign advisor, Joseph? And then become perpetual slaves?
Even funnier is the part whereby Joseph couldn’t confiscate the lands and taxes handed to the priests! They got to keep everything despite this drought. Actually, this odious story is a lesson to us: we do need a government to protect us during the inevitable bad years. We know that these bad years come with depressing regularity. And tremendously bad years come in huge waves that takes half a century to gather strength.
Many things come in waves of seven years. For example, some insects follow a seven-year mating schedule. I learned, while doing this story, that men’s ears have a seven year growth cycle which is why the size of the ears change over time. How peculiar is that? Rhythmic ear growth– research indicates men’s ears grow in seven-year cycles.
Engineering News:The Stainless Steel Market and the Seven Year Cycle – is all about this mysterious seven year cycle in metal markets! Commodity Future Trading and the 30 Year Cycle:
The tops of the cycle are approximately thirty years apart. Once the top is pinpointed we just add 30 years to the top. So every 30 years the major highs are made and the cycle repeats.
Within this 30 year cycle there are seven years which produce massive price moves to the upside. So, seven years before the actual top is made, we look for commodity future prices to begin their big moves. Slowly at first, but all the while getting progressively bigger and bigger.
The Seven Year Property Cycle
Could good times be here again for homeowners and residential property investors? Over the past 30 years, there has been a general cycle with house prices rising quickly every 7 -8 years. The boom years have been 1973/4, 1981/2, 1987/8 and 1994/5. Based on these figures 2001/2 may be a good year for the residential property sector. One cautionary note however. Each price appreciation had been proceeded by a period of inflation. Certainly over the past two or three years this has not been the case. We will have to wait and see.
Anderson bases his prediction on an 18-year cycle which he says has manifested itself in the United States since 1800. “The cycle is as regular as clockwork. It is quite bizarre,” he said.
There were peaks in land sales or real estate speculation in 1818, 1836, 1854, 1888, 1908, 1926 and 1944. The peaks were followed by downturns or depressions, typically lasting four years. World War II disrupted the pattern. But the cycle resumed in 1955.
The real estate market in the US again peaked in 1989 and bottomed in 1991. And 18 years later, in 2006-07, it hit another high. We are now into the third year of downturn, so by next year the market should bottom, which will mark the beginning of the new 18-year cycle.
The next boom, peaking around 2024, will be huge because hundreds of millions of Chinese will enter the market for the first time, he said. “Singapore is well-positioned to take advantage of the next boom because of its proximity to China. I am very bullish on Singapore. Although real estate is already expensive in Singapore, it is going to be more expensive.”
Anderson is confident the cycle will repeat itself as long as land is tradeable and in private hands. “It will continue to happen because people will chase the capitalized rent of land,” he said. “It will be gone only if the rent is collected by the government.”
China’s privatization of its real estate market guarantees a real estate cycle, according to him.
Also, everything that has been done to tackle the current financial crisis is to preserve the system. “So the system will start again.”
There are smaller cycles within the big 18-year cycles. The first seven years are characterized by a gradual improvement in activity and confidence following the previous crash. The next seven years see steeper increases in activity and prices, with the sharpest gains taking place in the final two of the seven years.
“That’s when most people take on more debt. That’s also the easiest time to buy real estate because loans are easy to get as banks have a lot of money. But that’s absolutely the wrong time to do so,” said Anderson.
The Jewish culture has a big thing for the number seven: it is the Jubilee cycle. Every seventh year is a ‘sabbatical’, Saturday is the seventh day, of course, the day of ‘rest’ and every seven years, which is 49 years [effectively, every half a century] is the Jubilee year where all debts are cancelled.
This is rather peculiar. For we see our government and our bankers and everyone rushing about like mad, to keep the debt payments flowing faultlessly and they are even rewriting mortgages written less than three years ago, all in a vain attempt at keeping the mortgages paying back!
Indeed, to keep the lending cycle running past the 49 year mark, they are going ZIRP whereby no new loans pay any interest at all! This zero percent lending system is a sign, the ability to soak up more debts has reached its cyclic limits. We have to zero out everything. Savers are being punished, and the ones who have money left are running to gold. But we can see from the very ancient story about droughts, this doesn’t work. The Pharaoh and his foreign advisor will suck up all the gold and only then, will they hand out the means of survival!
At least, this is how they hope things go: during this ‘drought’, desperate for medicine, food, housing, we will give up all our freedoms and rights as citizens and become serfs? I think they are of two minds: they know that, instead of a ‘Jubilee’, they hope to transfer all the debts to the government, itself. And with a fine sleigh of hand, convince us that these debts are really ‘assets’.
But these ‘assets’ are for them, not us. These ‘assets’ are TAXES on our futures. And promises that these future taxes will never show up is pure baloney. Note how this 5,000 year old tale ends: the people have no money, no gold, no livestock and no land. They are forever, serfs. What is even funnier is, the Jews skip forwards a tad from this story to the story of Moses. In this story, the Jews are also slaves in Egypt! Well! Isn’t it funny, they claim authorship of the system that did this? Talk about irony.
I think this is the cat goddess’s revenge.
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